RISICO

RISk and uncertainty in developing and Implementing Climate change pOlicies

 Coordinatore UNIVERSITA COMMERCIALE LUIGI BOCCONI 

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 Nazionalità Coordinatore Italy [IT]
 Totale costo 1˙146˙002 €
 EC contributo 1˙146˙002 €
 Programma FP7-IDEAS-ERC
Specific programme: "Ideas" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013)
 Code Call ERC-2013-StG
 Funding Scheme ERC-SG
 Anno di inizio 2014
 Periodo (anno-mese-giorno) 2014-06-01   -   2019-05-31

 Partecipanti

# participant  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    TRUSTEES OF COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY IN THE CITY OF NEW YORK

 Organization address address: AMSTERDAM AVENUE 1210 ROOM
city: NEW YORK
postcode: 10027 7003

contact info
Titolo: Mr.
Nome: Jonathan
Cognome: Starke
Email: send email
Telefono: 12128546851

US (NEW YORK) beneficiary 100˙402.00
2    UNIVERSITA COMMERCIALE LUIGI BOCCONI

 Organization address address: Via Sarfatti 25
city: MILANO
postcode: 20136

contact info
Titolo: Mr.
Nome: Luigi
Cognome: Pellegrino
Email: send email
Telefono: +39025836 2242

IT (MILANO) hostInstitution 1˙045˙600.00
3    UNIVERSITA COMMERCIALE LUIGI BOCCONI

 Organization address address: Via Sarfatti 25
city: MILANO
postcode: 20136

contact info
Titolo: Prof.
Nome: Valentina
Cognome: Bosetti
Email: send email
Telefono: +3902 5836 2227
Fax: +3902 5836 2187

IT (MILANO) hostInstitution 1˙045˙600.00

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 Word cloud

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biases    techniques    risk    dynamic    literature    uncertainty    us    frame    phenomena    stochastic    normative    policy    perception    models    decision    climate   

 Obiettivo del progetto (Objective)

'Uncertainty is pervasive in all aspects of climate change. Although this is beyond dispute, the vast majority of research assessing climate ignores uncertainty, in large part because of the technical complexities involved. The present project aims at advancing substantially the way we conceptualize, model and frame the climate change policy making process, focusing on the central role of uncertainty. The first step is that of applying state of the art techniques from operation research (stochastic dynamic and approximate dynamic programming) to the realm of integrated assessment models (the conventional tool used to perform climate change analysis). These techniques enable us to capture a wide range of stochastic phenomena in the decision process. However, to really move forward the research edge one needs to shift the focus on to the way we, as individuals, perceive these uncertain phenomena. Indeed, the literature on decision making under uncertainty spans way beyond economics, statistics and operations research: Notably psychology and philosophy. These disciplines have had a major role in extending what we know about the process of decision making under uncertainty, and this project aims at reconciling this strand of literature with that on climate change policy design and assessment. The three main research questions are: 1) What are key risk and uncertainty perception issues and “biases” when we face climate change and under what instances should they be included in normative analyses of climate change? 2) How can we map these “alternative” representations of uncertainty and risk perception into integrated assessment models and how will these affect the normative predicaments of these models ? 3) How can we communicate and frame uncertainty itself, as well as results of stochastic analyses, in a way that help us reducing those biases that have no normative role, but arise from our limited attentional and information processing capacity?'

Altri progetti dello stesso programma (FP7-IDEAS-ERC)

SFEROT (2008)

Secure Function Evaluation – from Theory to Tools

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MATHANA (2011)

Mathematical modeling of anaesthetic action

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PACEMAKER (2009)

Past Continental Climate Change: Temperatures from marine and lacustrine archives

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