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MACROTRADE SIGNED

Research on Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Trade

Total Cost €

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EC-Contrib. €

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Partnership

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Project "MACROTRADE" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.

Coordinator
LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS AND POLITICAL SCIENCE 

Organization address
address: Houghton Street 1
city: LONDON
postcode: WC2A 2AE
website: www.lse.ac.uk

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country United Kingdom [UK]
 Total cost 1˙257˙242 €
 EC max contribution 1˙257˙242 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.1.1. (EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC))
 Code Call ERC-2015-CoG
 Funding Scheme ERC-COG
 Starting year 2016
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2016-10-01   to  2021-09-30

 Partnership

Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS AND POLITICAL SCIENCE UK (LONDON) coordinator 1˙257˙242.00

Map

 Project objective

The proposal is divided into three strands whose main goals are to i) study macroeconomic fluctuations, ii) identify the mechanisms that drive and propagate these fluctuations, and iii) use the empirical findings to inform and formulate models that can be used for quantitative policy and positive analysis.

The first strand will exploit a new dataset to study housing markets during the build-up and aftermath of the crisis. We will document a robust pattern of history dependence in housing markets and investigate four main channels to potentially explain this pattern: Down payment requirements; matching quality; learning; and anchoring. Using these results we will build and structurally estimate a model with the aim to use in policy and positive analysis.

The second strand studies an unexplored mechanism for the transmission of monetary policy. A main winner from monetary policy expansions in most countries is the government, which sees a reduction in the value of its debt and typically, better borrowing terms. We will investigate how public spending, revenues, and debt management react to changes in monetary policy; the extent to which the response of activity is driven by the public sector; the interactions between public and private sector responses; and the (intra- and inter-generational) distributional effects from monetary policy interventions. We will then formulate a DSGE model embedding a careful description of the government’s role in the transmission mechanism.

The third strand studies the effect of terms-of-trade fluctuations on agricultural production and trade. We will focus on the distribution of gains from trade in markets characterized by oligopsonies buying from small farmers and exporting in international markets. We will study how this configuration, characteristic of agricultural markets in low-income economies, alters the gains from trade and the effects of terms-of-trade changes vis-a-vis the standard framework of perfect competition.

 Publications

year authors and title journal last update
List of publications.
2019 Michael McLeay, Silvana Tenreyro
Optimal Inflation and the Identification of the Phillips Curve
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI: 10.3386/w25892
NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2019-08-05
2019 Silvana Tenreyro,Tiloka De Silva
The Fall in Global Fertility: A Quantitative Model
published pages: , ISSN: 1945-7715, DOI:
AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL: MACROECONOMICS 2019-08-05
2018 Thomas Drechsel,Silvana Tenreyro
Commodity booms and busts in emerging economies
published pages: , ISSN: 0022-1996, DOI:
Journal of International Economics 2019-08-05
2018 Silvana Tenreyro,Vincent Sterk
The transmission of monetary policy through redistributions and durable purchases
published pages: , ISSN: 0304-3932, DOI:
Journal of Monetary Economics Volume 99, November 2018, Pages 124-137 2019-08-05

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