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EUCP SIGNED

European Climate Prediction system

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EC-Contrib. €

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Partnership

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Project "EUCP" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.

Coordinator
MET OFFICE 

Organization address
address: FITZROY ROAD
city: EXETER
postcode: EX1 3PB
website: www.metoffice.gov.uk

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country United Kingdom [UK]
 Project website http://www.eucp-project.eu
 Total cost 12˙999˙515 €
 EC max contribution 12˙999˙515 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.3.5.1. (Fighting and adapting to climate change)
 Code Call H2020-SC5-2017-OneStageB
 Funding Scheme RIA
 Starting year 2017
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2017-12-01   to  2021-11-30

 Partnership

Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    MET OFFICE UK (EXETER) coordinator 1˙967˙215.00
2    CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CNRS FR (PARIS) participant 1˙764˙057.00
3    FONDAZIONE CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEOSUI CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI IT (LECCE) participant 1˙085˙625.00
4    BARCELONA SUPERCOMPUTING CENTER - CENTRO NACIONAL DE SUPERCOMPUTACION ES (BARCELONA) participant 1˙026˙593.00
5    STICHTING DELTARES NL (DELFT) participant 907˙230.00
6    SVERIGES METEOROLOGISKA OCH HYDROLOGISKA INSTITUT SE (NORRKOEPING) participant 896˙000.00
7    KONINKLIJK NEDERLANDS METEOROLOGISCH INSTITUUT-KNMI NL (DE BILT) participant 867˙255.00
8    EIDGENOESSISCHE TECHNISCHE HOCHSCHULE ZUERICH CH (ZUERICH) participant 785˙478.00
9    HELMHOLTZ-ZENTRUM GEESTHACHT ZENTRUM FUR MATERIAL- UND KUSTENFORSCHUNG GMBH DE (GEESTHACHT) participant 667˙405.00
10    THE CHANCELLOR, MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD UK (OXFORD) participant 588˙641.00
11    STICHTING NETHERLANDS ESCIENCE CENTER NL (AMSTERDAM) participant 545˙625.00
12    INTERNATIONALES INSTITUT FUER ANGEWANDTE SYSTEMANALYSE AT (LAXENBURG) participant 504˙963.00
13    UNITED NATIONS EDUCATIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND CULTURAL ORGANIZATION -UNESCO FR (PARIS) participant 502˙250.00
14    KOBENHAVNS UNIVERSITET DK (KOBENHAVN) participant 338˙152.00
15    DANMARKS METEOROLOGISKE INSTITUT DK (KOBENHAVN) participant 293˙392.00
16    THE UNIVERSITY OF EDINBURGH UK (EDINBURGH) participant 259˙630.00

Map

 Project objective

The European Climate Prediction system project (EUCP) has four objectives, all directly relevant to the work programme, and fully meet the challenge, scope and impact of the work programme. 1. Develop an innovative ensemble climate prediction system based on high-resolution climate models for Europe for the near-term (~1-40years), including improved methods used to characterise uncertainty in climate predictions, regional downscaling, and evaluation against observations. 2. Use the climate prediction system to produce consistent, authoritative and actionable climate information. This information will be co-designed with users to constitute a robust foundation for Europe-wide climate service activities to support climate-related risk assessments and climate change adaptation programmes. 3. Demonstrate the value of this climate prediction system through high impact extreme weather events in the near past and near future drawing on convection permitting regional climate models translated into risk information for, and with, targeted end users. 4. Develop, and publish, methodologies, good practice and guidance for producing and using authoritative climate predictions for 1-40year timescale. The system (objective1) will combine initialised climate predictions on the multi-annual timescale with longer-term climate projections and high resolution regional downscaling, using observations for evaluation. Methodologies will be developed to characterise uncertainty and to seamlessly blend the predictions and projections. Users will be engaged through active user groups. The system will be utilised (objective2) with users to co-produce information suitable for European climate service activities. A set of demonstrators will show the value of this information in real-world applications with user involvement (objective3). Key outputs will include disseminating and publishing the project’s methodologies, and user-relevant data and knowledge (objective4).

 Deliverables

List of deliverables.
Fully assessed CP-RCMs for the simulation of high impact events for the simulation of high impact events Documents, reports 2019-11-22 11:58:15
Project website and internal collaboration platform Websites, patent fillings, videos etc. 2019-11-22 11:58:22
Activities in research communities related to climate prediction Documents, reports 2019-11-22 11:58:21
Exchange of data and results and planned joint activities amongst research communities Documents, reports 2019-11-22 11:58:19
End user requirements for the EUCP Documents, reports 2019-11-22 11:58:14
Literature research about existing scientific knowledge gaps and best practices related to the use of climate predictions Documents, reports 2019-11-22 11:58:14
Simulation strategy for the continuous experiment approach over the Alpine focus sub-region and event-based approach at the pan-European level Documents, reports 2019-11-22 11:58:12

Take a look to the deliverables list in detail:  detailed list of EUCP deliverables.

 Publications

year authors and title journal last update
List of publications.
2019 Dragana Bojovic, Roberto Bilbao, Leandro B. Díaz, Markus Donat, Pablo Ortega, Yohan Ruprich-Robert, Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali, Marta Terrado, Deborah Verfaillie, Francisco Doblas-Reyes
The biggest unknowns related to decadal prediction: what 50 experts think are the 5 major knowledge gaps
published pages: , ISSN: 0003-0007, DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0190.1
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2019-10-29
2019 Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Sandra Gaytan-Aguilar, Roshanka Ranasinghe
Global distribution of nearshore slopes with implications for coastal retreat
published pages: 1515-1529, ISSN: 1866-3516, DOI: 10.5194/essd-11-1515-2019
Earth System Science Data 11/4 2019-10-08
2019 Zander MJ, Sperna Weiland FC, and Weerts AH
Towards European wide maps of climatologic homogeneous regions for rainfall
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Geophysical Research Abstracts Proceedings of the EGU General 2019-10-01
2019 P. Spandre, H. François, D. Verfaillie, M. Lafaysse, M. Déqué, N. Eckert, E. George, S. Morin
Climate controls on snow reliability in French Alps ski resorts
published pages: , ISSN: 2045-2322, DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-44068-8
Scientific Reports 9/1 2019-10-01
2019 Panagiotis Athanasiou, Ap van Dongeren, Alessio Giardino, Michalis Vousdoukas, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Jaap Kwadijk
Uncertainty analysis in land loss prediction due to sea level rise, for sandy systems, at the European scale
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Geophysical Research Abstracts, Proceedings of the EGU General Assembly 2019 Vol. 21 2019-10-01
2019 R. Manzanas, J. M. Gutiérrez, J. Bhend, S. Hemri, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, V. Torralba, E. Penabad, A. Brookshaw
Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset
published pages: 1-19, ISSN: 0930-7575, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04640-4
Climate Dynamics 02-2019 2019-10-01
2019 Bellprat, Omar; Guemas, Virginie; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco; Donat, Markus G.
Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution
published pages: 1-7, ISSN: 2041-1723, DOI: 10.3929/ethz-b-000339757
Nature Communications, 10 5 2019-10-01
2019 Raül Marcos, Nube González-Reviriego, Verónica Torralba, Albert Soret, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes
Characterization of the near surface wind speed distribution at global scale: ERA-Interim reanalysis and ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 4
published pages: 3307-3319, ISSN: 0930-7575, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4338-5
Climate Dynamics 52/5-6 2019-10-01
2019 Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Morten A. D. Larsen, Ole B. Christensen, Martin Drews, Martin Stendel
Robustness of European climate projections from dynamical downscaling
published pages: 1-13, ISSN: 0930-7575, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04831-z
Climate Dynamics 2019-10-01
2018 Lledó, Llorenç; Bellprat, Omar; Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.; Soret, Albert
Investigating the Effects of Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures on the Wind Drought of 2015 Over the United States
published pages: 4837-4849, ISSN: 2169-897X, DOI: 10.1029/2017JD028019
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres 6 2019-10-01
2018 Marco Turco, Sonia Jerez, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Amir AghaKouchak, Maria Carmen Llasat, Antonello Provenzale
Skilful forecasting of global fire activity using seasonal climate predictions
published pages: 1-9, ISSN: 2041-1723, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-05250-0
Nature Communications 9/1 2019-10-01
2019 Yiling Liu, Markus G. Donat, Andréa S. Taschetto, Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes, Lisa V. Alexander, Matthew H. England
A Framework to Determine the Limits of Achievable Skill for Interannual to Decadal Climate Predictions
published pages: 2882-2896, ISSN: 2169-897X, DOI: 10.1029/2018jd029541
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 124/6 2019-10-01
2019 Luis R. L. Rodrigues, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Caio A. S. Coelho
Calibration and combination of monthly near-surface temperature and precipitation predictions over Europe
published pages: 1-16, ISSN: 0930-7575, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4140-4
Climate Dynamics 02-2019 2019-10-01
2019 Pierre Spandre, Hugues François, Deborah Verfaillie, Marc Pons, Matthieu Vernay, Matthieu Lafaysse, Emmanuelle George, Samuel Morin
Winter tourism under climate change in the Pyrenees and the French Alps: relevance of snowmaking as a technical adaptation
published pages: 1325-1347, ISSN: 1994-0424, DOI: 10.5194/tc-13-1325-2019
The Cryosphere 13/4 2019-10-01
2018 Chris D. Hewitt, Jason A. Lowe
Toward a European Climate Prediction System
published pages: 1997-2001, ISSN: 0003-0007, DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-18-0022.1
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 99/10 2019-10-01
2018 D. M. Smith, A. A. Scaife, E. Hawkins, R. Bilbao, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, R. Doescher, N. J. Dunstone, R. Eade, L. Hermanson, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, T. Koenigk, Y. Kushnir, D. Matei, G. A. Meehl, M. Menegoz, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Power, M. Rixen, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, M. Tuma, K. Wyser, X.
Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C
published pages: 11,895-11,903, ISSN: 0094-8276, DOI: 10.1029/2018gl079362
Geophysical Research Letters 45/21 2019-10-01
2019 Dominic Matte, Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Robustness and Scalability of Regional Climate Projections Over Europe
published pages: , ISSN: 2296-665X, DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2018.00163
Frontiers in Environmental Science 6 2019-10-01
2018 Yves Tramblay, Samuel Somot
Future evolution of extreme precipitation in the Mediterranean
published pages: 289-302, ISSN: 0165-0009, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2300-5
Climatic Change 151/2 2019-10-01
2018 Erika Coppola, Stefan Sobolowski, E. Pichelli, F. Raffaele, B. Ahrens, I. Anders, N. Ban, S. Bastin, M. Belda, D. Belusic, A. Caldas-Alvarez, R. M. Cardoso, S. Davolio, A. Dobler, J. Fernandez, L. Fita, Q. Fumiere, F. Giorgi, K. Goergen, I. Güttler, T. Halenka, D. Heinzeller, Ø. Hodnebrog, D. Jacob, S. Kartsios, E. Katragkou, E. Kendon, S. Khodayar, H. Kunstmann, S. Knist, A. Lavín-Gullón, P.
A first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean
published pages: 1-32, ISSN: 0930-7575, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4521-8
Climate Dynamics 2019-10-01
2019 D. M. Smith, R. Eade, A. A. Scaife, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. M. DelSole, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, L. Hermanson, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Yeager, X. Yang
Robust skill of decadal climate predictions
published pages: 1-10, ISSN: 2397-3722, DOI: 10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 2/1 2019-10-01

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