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Economic Uncertainty and Fertility in Europe

Total Cost €


EC-Contrib. €






Project "EU-FER" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.


Organization address
address: Piazza San Marco 4
city: Florence
postcode: 50121

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Italy [IT]
 Total cost 1˙689˙272 €
 EC max contribution 1˙689˙272 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.1.1. (EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC))
 Code Call ERC-2016-COG
 Funding Scheme ERC-COG
 Starting year 2017
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2017-09-01   to  2022-08-31


Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    UNIVERSITA DEGLI STUDI DI FIRENZE IT (Florence) coordinator 1˙689˙272.00


 Project objective

EU-FER is a project about Economic Uncertainty and FERtility in EUrope. Economic uncertainty may be interpreted as an individual risk factor, mainly related to the labour market (e.g. unemployment, short-term contract jobs, underemployment, or a combination of these), but it may also be conceptualized as a macro-level phenomenon, reflecting the general uncertainty felt by people in times of economic turbulence. The recent Great Recession, spanning 2007 to 2009 and featuring downturns in both financial and labour market fortunes, has fuelled interest in understanding whether economic uncertainty, which does not appear to be a transient phenomenon, affects fertility. The economic uncertainty/fertility nexus is far from being clearly understood: theoretical premises are weak and empirical findings send conflicting messages. The goal of this project is to generate new knowledge on if, how, and under what circumstances economic uncertainty matters for fertility in contemporary Europe, adopting a cross-country comparative approach. The use of new data, methodologies, and tools may advance our knowledge on this topic. EU-FER is based on three pillars: a meta-analysis of previous research, a cross-country laboratory experimentation design, and micro-level longitudinal analyses. EU-FER ensures a strong interdisciplinary perspective, with the following overall goals: • to advance the understanding of the causal impact of economic uncertainty on fertility addressing this issue in a comprehensive way and from different perspectives, using various measures of uncertainty, and testing aspects that remain unclear from the current body of research; • to enhance the boundaries of demographic research by illustrating the benefits of a laboratory experimentation design; • to communicate findings and stimulate the academic and policy debate on how economic uncertainty matters for fertility.


year authors and title journal last update
List of publications.
2019 Marco Mariani, Alessandra Mattei, Lorenzo Storchi and Daniele Vignoli
The ambiguous effects of public assistance to youth and female start-ups between job creation and entrepreneurship enhancement
published pages: , ISSN: 1720-3929, DOI: 10.14650/93649
SR Scienze Regionali 2020-04-24
2019 Raffaele Guetto, Nazareno Panichella
Family arrangements and children’s educational outcomes: Heterogeneous penalties in upper-secondary school
published pages: 1015-1046, ISSN: 1435-9871, DOI: 10.4054/demres.2019.40.35
Demographic Research 40 2020-04-24
2020 Anna Matysiak, Tomáš Sobotka, Daniele Vignoli
The Great Recession and Fertility in Europe: A Sub-national Analysis
published pages: , ISSN: 0168-6577, DOI: 10.1007/s10680-020-09556-y
European Journal of Population 2020-04-24
2018 Alessandra Minello, Valentina Tocchioni
Tra lavoro e famiglia: analisi della relazione tra tempo dedicato al lavoro e prima unione in Italia
published pages: , ISSN: 0035-6832, DOI:
Rivista Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica 2020-04-24
2019 • Valentina Tocchioni, Carlotta Cangi, Daniele Vignoli
Incertezza economica e formazione dell’unione in Italia: un’analisi causale
published pages: , ISSN: 0035-6832, DOI:
Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica LXXIII 2020-04-15
2019 Daniela Bellani, Giulio Bosio
Knockin’on heaven’s door? Reframing the debate on temporary employment and wages: evidence from Europe
published pages: , ISSN: 1475-1461, DOI:
Socio-Economic Review 2020-04-15
2019 Daniele Vignoli, Valentina Tocchioni, Alessandra Mattei
The impact of job uncertainty on first-birth postponement
published pages: 100308, ISSN: 1040-2608, DOI: 10.1016/j.alcr.2019.100308
Advances in Life Course Research 2020-04-15
2020 Niccolò Innocenti, Daniele Vignoli, Luciana Lazzeretti
Economic Complexityand Fertility. Insights from a Low Fertility Country
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2020 Daniele Vignoli, Raffaele Guetto, Giacomo Bazzani, Elena Pirani, Alessandra Minello
Economic Uncertainty and Fertility in Europe: Narratives of the Future
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2019 Giammarco Alderotti, Daniele Vignoli, Michela Baccini and Anna Matysiak
Employment Uncertainty and Fertility in Europe: A Network Meta-Analysis of European Research Findings
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2020 Daniela Bellani, Bruno Arpino, Daniele Vignoli
In medio stat filius. The relationship between time preferences and fertility
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2019 Arianna Gatta, Francesco Mattioli, Letizia Mencarini, Daniele Vignoli
Employment Uncertainty and Fertility Intentions: Stability or Resilience?
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2019 Chiara L. Comolli, Daniele Vignoli
Spread-ing uncertainty, shrinking birth rates
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2018 Anna Matysiak, Tomáš Sobotka, Daniele Vignoli
The Great Recession and Fertility in Europe: A Sub-National Analysis
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2019 Giammarco Alderotti, Eleonora Mussino, Chiara Ludovica Comolli
Natives’ and Migrants’ Childbearing during the Great Recession: A Comparison between Italy and Sweden
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2018 Daniele Vignoli, Letizia Mencarini, Giammarco Alderotti
Is the Impact of Employment Uncertainty on Fertility Intentions Channeled by Subjective Well-being?
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2018 Daniele Vignoli, Valentina Tocchioni, Alessandra Mattei
First-Birth Gains and Losses from the First Job in Italy: The Role of Employment Uncertainty.
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2019 Valentina Tocchioni, Ann Berrington, Daniele Vignoli, Agnese Vitali
Housing uncertainty and the transition to parenthood among Britain’s “Generation Rent”
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
2018 Innocenti N., Vignoli D., Lazzeretti L.
The impact of economic development on fertility: a complexity approach in a cross-country analysis
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Book of Short Papers SIS 2018 2019-07-18
2018 Tocchioni, V. , Berrington, A., Vignoli, D., Vitali, A.
The Transition to Motherhood among British Young Women: does housing tenure play a role?
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Book of Short Papers SIS 2018 2019-07-18
2018 Valentina Tocchioni
Exploring the childless universe: Profiles of women and men without children in Italy
published pages: 451-470, ISSN: 1435-9871, DOI: 10.4054/demres.2018.38.19
Demographic Research 38 2019-07-18
2019 Annalisa Busetta, Daria Mendola, Daniele Vignoli
Persistent joblessness and fertility intentions
published pages: 185-218, ISSN: 1435-9871, DOI: 10.4054/demres.2019.40.8
Demographic Research 40 2019-07-18
2019 Marcantonio Caltabiano, Emanuela Dreassi, Emilia Rocco, Daniele Vignoli
A subregional analysis of family change: The spatial diffusion of one‐parent families across Italian municipalities, 1991–2011
published pages: e2237, ISSN: 1544-8444, DOI: 10.1002/psp.2237
Population, Space and Place 2019-07-18

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