TRECC

Tree Range Evolution under Climate Change

Coordinatore	CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE    more  Organization address address: Rue Michel -Ange 3 city: PARIS postcode: 75794 contact info Titolo: Ms. Nome: Ghislaine Cognome: Gibello Email: send email Telefono: +33 4 67613442 Fax: +33 4 67612249
Nazionalità Coordinatore	France [FR]
Totale costo	158˙133 €
EC contributo	158˙133 €
Programma	FP7-PEOPLE Specific programme "People" implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for research, technological development and demonstration activities (2007 to 2013)
Code Call	FP7-PEOPLE-IOF-2008
Funding Scheme	MC-IOF
Anno di inizio	2010
Periodo (anno-mese-giorno)	2010-02-01   -   2012-05-23

 Partecipanti

#	participant	country	role	EC contrib. [€]
1	CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE  Organization address address: Rue Michel -Ange 3 city: PARIS postcode: 75794 contact info Titolo: Ms. Nome: Ghislaine Cognome: Gibello Email: send email Telefono: +33 4 67613442 Fax: +33 4 67612249	FR (PARIS)	coordinator	158˙133.52

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 Obiettivo del progetto (Objective)

'Ongoing global warming impacts species' biology, with some species showing population extinction, others displacing their distributional range and/or modify their phenology, either through phenotypic plasticity or genetic modifications. This two-year project aims at evaluating how changing climatic conditions will modify the distributional range of tree species, taking adaptation into account. More specifically, the following questions will be addressed: (1) under which conditions will distribution ranges move, and at what speed? (2) will populations at the low-latitude edge of the distribution survive, adapt or go extinct? This will be done through the combined use of two existing approaches: theoretical and process-based modelling. Theoretical approaches taking into account genetic and environmental variability, migration, gene flow and adaptation have been developed to predict the width of a species' range, but they remain hard to parameterize for use in the real world. Process-based models rely on biological observations, and can be used to predict species' ranges under given environmental conditions; however, they do not yet take evolution into account. The candidate will (1) develop a spatially explicit theoretical model of species' range evolution, including the effects of drift (stochasticity due to finite populations); (2) calibrate this model using existing data, and the fitness values predicted by the process-based model, on well-studied tree species in a first instance, and modify the process-based model so that it can take into account individual variability and trait evolution, for further use with other species. This work will enhance collaboration between two leading laboratories, and strengthen the links between ecologists and evolutionary biologists. Furthermore, the candidate will acquire competence in modelling, which will complete her interdisciplinary training and facilitate her integration as a researcher in the host country.'