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COPTRA SIGNED

COmbining Probable TRAjectories

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EC-Contrib. €

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Project "COPTRA" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.

Coordinator
CENTRO DE REFERENCIA INVESTIGACION DESARROLLO E INNOVACION ATM, A.I.E. 

Organization address
address: AVDA DE ARAGON 402 4 EDIFICIO ALLENDE
city: Madrid
postcode: 28022
website: www.crida.es

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Spain [ES]
 Project website http://www.coptra.eu
 Total cost 1˙280˙818 €
 EC max contribution 999˙391 € (78%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.3.4.7.1 (Exploratory Research)
 Code Call H2020-SESAR-2015-1
 Funding Scheme SESAR-RIA
 Starting year 2016
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2016-03-01   to  2018-02-28

 Partnership

Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    CENTRO DE REFERENCIA INVESTIGACION DESARROLLO E INNOVACION ATM, A.I.E. ES (Madrid) coordinator 225˙225.00
2    UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN BE (LOUVAIN LA NEUVE) participant 269˙250.00
3    ISTANBUL TEKNIK UNIVERSITESI TR (MASLAK ISTANBUL) participant 268˙750.00
4    BOEING RESEARCH & TECHNOLOGY EUROPE S.L.U. ES (MADRID) participant 236˙166.00
5    EUROCONTROL - EUROPEAN ORGANISATION FOR THE SAFETY OF AIR NAVIGATION BE (BRUXELLES) participant 0.00

Map

 Project objective

SESAR implementation will result in an environment using extensive and intensive planning to address complexity imbalances and reduce potential conflicts. Accurate planning requires quantifying forecast accuracy at all planning horizons with the main challenge of combining trajectories with different levels of accuracy.A quality indicator giving the forecast accuracy could enhance the situation: It has to combine uncertainties associated to traffic predictions and to trajectory predictions composing traffic. COPTRA aims to propose, in a TBO, an efficient method to build probabilistic traffic forecasts on the basis of flight trajectory predictions. Its main objective is: Using the improvements brought to Trajectory Prediction by the future TBO environment; bring measurable improvements to Traffic Prediction in ATC Planning, specifically to the prediction of occupancy counts. COPTRA objective is refined in 3 sub-objectives corresponding to its research work packages: 1. Define the concept of probabilistic trajectory and its prediction (WP2). 2. Using the definition of probabilistic trajectory, define the concept of probabilistic traffic situation and study how probabilistic traffic situations can be built by combining probabilistic trajectories (WP3). 3. Apply probabilistic traffic situations to ATC planning (WP4). The management work packages encompass project management (WP1), results dissemination (WP5) and project conclusion (WP6). To achieve its objectives, COPTRA brings together inter-disciplinary competencies where the partners are leading their respective area: • BR&T-E and ITU are experts in trajectory prediction, including the important aspect of prediction uncertainty, • UCLouvain ICTEAM has a proven track in using advanced methods and techniques to address optimal control problems on modern dynamical systems. • In addition to CRIDA’s proven track in managing research projects, CRIDA and EUROCONTROL bring their expertise in ATC

 Deliverables

List of deliverables.
Quantification of trajectory prediction uncertainty Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:09
Probabilistic traffic demand Models V1 Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:14
Exploitation & Dissemination report V2 Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:08
Exploitation & Dissemination plan V1 Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:02
Probabilistic Traffic Demand Models V2 Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:10
Exploitation & Dissemination report V1 Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:06
ATC tools Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:16
Exploitation & Dissemination plan V2 Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:08
Techniques to determine trajectory uncertainty and modelling V2 Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:04
Techniques to determine trajectory uncertainty and modelling V1 Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:12
COPTRA Report Documents, reports 2019-05-30 14:44:14

Take a look to the deliverables list in detail:  detailed list of COPTRA deliverables.

 Publications

year authors and title journal last update
List of publications.
2017 Baris Baspinar, Emre Koyuncu, Gokhan Inalhan
Large Scale Data-Driven Delay Distribution Models of European Air Traffic Flow Network
published pages: 499-508, ISSN: 2352-1465, DOI: 10.1016/j.trpro.2017.03.068
Transportation Research Procedia 22 2019-06-13
2017 Enrique Casado
Analytical Quantification of Trajectory Prediction Uncertainties
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
International Workshop on Uncertainty and Air Traffic Management 2019-06-13
2017 Mevlüt Uzun, Emre Koyuncu
Data-Driven Trajectory Uncertainty Quantification For Climbing Aircraft To Improve Ground-Based Trajectory Prediction
published pages: 1-1, ISSN: 1302-3160, DOI: 10.18038/aubtda.270074
ANADOLU UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY A - Applied Sciences and Engineering 2019-06-13
2017 Jean Boucquey Andrew Hately, Richard Irvine Stefan Steurs François Gonze Etienne Huens Raphael M. Jungers
Probabilistic Traffic Models for Occupancy Counting
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
SESAR Innovation Days 2017 2019-06-13
2017 Emre Koyuncu José M. Cordero
Towards Advanced Trajectory Uncertainty Quantification: COPTRA
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
International Workshop on Meteorology and Air Traffic Management 2019-06-13
2016 Baris Baspinar, N. Kemal Ure, Emre Koyuncu, Gokhan Inalhan
Analysis of Delay Characteristics of European Air Traffic through a Data-Driven Airport-Centric Queuing Network Model
published pages: 359-364, ISSN: 2405-8963, DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2016.07.060
IFAC-PapersOnLine 49/3 2019-06-13
2017 François Gonze, Andrea Simonetto, Etienne Huens, Jean Boucquey, Raphael M. Jungers
Probabilistic Occupancy Counts and Flight Criticality Measures for ATM
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Proceedings of the 12th USA/Europe ATM R&D Seminar 2019-06-13
2017 Emre Koyuncu, Barış Başpınar
Demand and Capacity Balancing Through Probabilistic Queuing Theory and Ground Holding Program for European Air Transportation Network
published pages: 1-1, ISSN: 1302-3160, DOI: 10.18038/aubtda.268872
ANADOLU UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY A - Applied Sciences and Engineering 2019-06-13
2017 Nicolas Suarez Iciar Garcia-Ovies Danlin Zheng Jean Boucquey
Assessing the viability of an occupancy count prediction model
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
SESAR Innovation Days 2017 2019-06-13
2017 Barıs Baspınar Emre Koyuncu
MANAGING AIR TRANSPORT DEMAND AND CAPACITY VIA STOCHASTIC MODELLING APPROACH
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
9th Ankara International Aerospace Conference Yearly 2019-06-13
2018 Florentin Goyens François Gonze Andrea Simonetto Etienne Huens Jean Boucquey Raphaël M. Jungers
A Probabilistic Model for Precedence Rules and Reactionary Delay in Air Traffic Management
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
USA & Europe ICRAT conference 2018 2019-06-13
2016 François Gonze Jean Boucquey Raphaël Jungers
Combining Probable Trajectories in Air Traffic Management
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Conference 35th Benelux Meeting in Systems and Control The Netherlands March 2016 2019-06-13
2016 Andrea Simonetto François Gonze Raphaël M. Jungers
The Need for Computational Tools for the European Air Traffic Network
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Conference EUCCO 2016 2019-06-13
2017 François Gonze Andrea Simonetto Etienne Huens Jean Boucquey Raphaël M. Jungers
Probabilistic Occupancy Counts and Flight Criticality Measures for ATM
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
36th Benelux Meeting in Systems and Control 2019-06-13

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