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GlobalPolicyUncertainty

Global Policy Uncertainty and International Asset Markets

Total Cost €

0

EC-Contrib. €

0

Partnership

0

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 GlobalPolicyUncertainty project word cloud

Explore the words cloud of the GlobalPolicyUncertainty project. It provides you a very rough idea of what is the project "GlobalPolicyUncertainty" about.

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Project "GlobalPolicyUncertainty" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.

Coordinator
UNIVERSIDAD POMPEU FABRA 

Organization address
address: PLACA DE LA MERCE, 10-12
city: BARCELONA
postcode: 8002
website: www.upf.edu

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Spain [ES]
 Project website http://www.isaacbaley.com/research.html
 Total cost 158˙121 €
 EC max contribution 158˙121 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.1.3.2. (Nurturing excellence by means of cross-border and cross-sector mobility)
 Code Call H2020-MSCA-IF-2015
 Funding Scheme MSCA-IF-EF-ST
 Starting year 2016
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2016-09-22   to  2018-09-21

 Partnership

Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    UNIVERSIDAD POMPEU FABRA ES (BARCELONA) coordinator 158˙121.00

Map

 Project objective

Government policies - fiscal, monetary, and regulatory - define the rules of the game for economic agents. However, uncertainty about policy changes may affect the economy adversely as it acts as an additional source of risk. In an interconnected world economy, policy uncertainty has spillover effects beyond national borders, and becomes a global source of risk. In this context, this project investigates the relationship between global policy uncertainty - the common driver of uncertainty across countries - and international financial markets. In the aftermath of the financial crisis, it is timely and relevant to deepen our understanding of these relationships. This may, in turn, inform the development of policies that minimize the adverse impacts of uncertainty, particularly in regions of high economic integration as the Euro zone.

First, I assemble a multi-country panel dataset that combines measures of country-level policy uncertainty with a variety of financial instruments. I construct a new measure of global policy uncertainty and document its correlation with the term structure, volatility, and other characteristics of assets. Next, I develop a multi-country general equilibrium asset-pricing model in which unobserved government actions affect productivity. As a novel feature, I introduce asymmetric information: residents of a country have superior knowledge about their government's actions compared to foreigners. Global policy uncertainty arises from fundamental risks and information heterogeneity, and it is priced in equilibrium. I use the model to measure the importance of global and country-level uncertainty as asset pricing determinants, and to quantify the impact of uncertainty-reducing strategies such as increasing government transparency.

The project links international finance, asset pricing, and macroeconomics, and contributes to an active literature on the consequences of policy uncertainty by exploring its international dimensions.

 Publications

year authors and title journal last update
List of publications.
2016 Isaac Baley, Laura Veldkamp and Michael Waugh
Information globalization
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Economics Working Paper Series Working Paper No. 1529 2019-05-08

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