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Global Policy Uncertainty and International Asset Markets

Total Cost €


EC-Contrib. €






 GlobalPolicyUncertainty project word cloud

Explore the words cloud of the GlobalPolicyUncertainty project. It provides you a very rough idea of what is the project "GlobalPolicyUncertainty" about.

financial    productivity    exploring    fundamental    transparency    monetary    risks    economic    introduce    countries    relationship    correlation    active    asymmetric    variety    literature    finance    zone    contributes    policies    regulatory    borders    agents    acts    structure    national    dataset    world    volatility    relationships    government    dimensions    adverse    construct    actions    spillover    risk    additional    heterogeneity    quantify    becomes    game    minimize    combines    equilibrium    international    strategies    global    impacts    crisis    links    determinants    policy    foreigners    deepen    document    superior    model    markets    investigates    residents    source    priced    turn    country    asset    arises    aftermath    reducing    pricing    macroeconomics    fiscal    regions    first    interconnected    driver    assets    instruments    context    economy    panel    assemble    unobserved    rules    inform    adversely    integration   

Project "GlobalPolicyUncertainty" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.


Organization address
address: PLACA DE LA MERCE, 10-12
postcode: 8002

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Spain [ES]
 Project website
 Total cost 158˙121 €
 EC max contribution 158˙121 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.1.3.2. (Nurturing excellence by means of cross-border and cross-sector mobility)
 Code Call H2020-MSCA-IF-2015
 Funding Scheme MSCA-IF-EF-ST
 Starting year 2016
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2016-09-22   to  2018-09-21


Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    UNIVERSIDAD POMPEU FABRA ES (BARCELONA) coordinator 158˙121.00


 Project objective

Government policies - fiscal, monetary, and regulatory - define the rules of the game for economic agents. However, uncertainty about policy changes may affect the economy adversely as it acts as an additional source of risk. In an interconnected world economy, policy uncertainty has spillover effects beyond national borders, and becomes a global source of risk. In this context, this project investigates the relationship between global policy uncertainty - the common driver of uncertainty across countries - and international financial markets. In the aftermath of the financial crisis, it is timely and relevant to deepen our understanding of these relationships. This may, in turn, inform the development of policies that minimize the adverse impacts of uncertainty, particularly in regions of high economic integration as the Euro zone.

First, I assemble a multi-country panel dataset that combines measures of country-level policy uncertainty with a variety of financial instruments. I construct a new measure of global policy uncertainty and document its correlation with the term structure, volatility, and other characteristics of assets. Next, I develop a multi-country general equilibrium asset-pricing model in which unobserved government actions affect productivity. As a novel feature, I introduce asymmetric information: residents of a country have superior knowledge about their government's actions compared to foreigners. Global policy uncertainty arises from fundamental risks and information heterogeneity, and it is priced in equilibrium. I use the model to measure the importance of global and country-level uncertainty as asset pricing determinants, and to quantify the impact of uncertainty-reducing strategies such as increasing government transparency.

The project links international finance, asset pricing, and macroeconomics, and contributes to an active literature on the consequences of policy uncertainty by exploring its international dimensions.


year authors and title journal last update
List of publications.
2016 Isaac Baley, Laura Veldkamp and Michael Waugh
Information globalization
published pages: , ISSN: , DOI:
Economics Working Paper Series Working Paper No. 1529 2019-05-08

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The information about "GLOBALPOLICYUNCERTAINTY" are provided by the European Opendata Portal: CORDIS opendata.

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