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Do droughts self-propagate and self-intensify?

Total Cost €


EC-Contrib. €






 DRY-2-DRY project word cloud

Explore the words cloud of the DRY-2-DRY project. It provides you a very rough idea of what is the project "DRY-2-DRY" about.

critical    rainfall    occurrence    evolve    historically    intensity    feedbacks    map    enhances    decade    dampen    usa    australia    dry    forecasts    propagate    soil    records    mechanisms    accurate    winds    transported    events    yield    intensify    threats    poses    recurrence    security    situ    moment    climate    term    evaporated    land    too    start    unprecedented    last       global    dimensional    forest    serious    self    evaporation    largely    rationale    local    water    food    underestimate    drought    vapour    trajectories    precipitation    scarcity    predicted    rely    progress    aggravation    agricultural    suggested    remote    influences    billion    fundamental    becomes    capacity    mechanistic    drinking    region    forecast    moisture    speculative    mortality    independent    observe    models    vegetation    deficits    regions    positive    satellite    californian    occurred    representing    limited    droughts    us    immature    combination    feedback    air    ongoing    lacking    cover    explore   

Project "DRY-2-DRY" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.


Organization address
city: GENT
postcode: 9000

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Belgium [BE]
 Total cost 1˙465˙000 €
 EC max contribution 1˙465˙000 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.1.1. (EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC))
 Code Call ERC-2016-STG
 Funding Scheme ERC-STG
 Starting year 2017
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2017-02-01   to  2022-01-31


Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    UNIVERSITEIT GENT BE (GENT) coordinator 1˙465˙000.00


 Project objective

Droughts cause agricultural loss, forest mortality and drinking water scarcity. Their predicted increase in recurrence and intensity poses serious threats to future global food security. Several historically unprecedented droughts have already occurred over the last decade in Europe, Australia and the USA. The cost of the ongoing Californian drought is estimated to be about US$3 billion. Still today, the knowledge of how droughts start and evolve remains limited, and so does the understanding of how climate change may affect them.

Positive feedbacks from land have been suggested as critical for the occurrence of recent droughts: as rainfall deficits dry out soil and vegetation, the evaporation of land water is reduced, then the local air becomes too dry to yield rainfall, which further enhances drought conditions. Importantly, this is not just a 'local' feedback, as remote regions may rely on evaporated water transported by winds from the drought-affected region. Following this rationale, droughts self-propagate and self-intensify.

However, a global capacity to observe these processes is lacking. Furthermore, climate and forecast models are immature when it comes to representing the influences of land on rainfall. Do climate models underestimate this land feedback? If so, future drought aggravation will be greater than currently expected. At the moment, this remains largely speculative, given the limited number of studies of these processes.

I propose to use novel in situ and satellite records of soil moisture, evaporation and precipitation, in combination with new mechanistic models that can map water vapour trajectories and explore multi-dimensional feedbacks. DRY-2-DRY will not only advance our fundamental knowledge of the mechanisms triggering droughts, it will also provide independent evidence of the extent to which managing land cover can help 'dampen' drought events, and enable progress towards more accurate short-term and long-term drought forecasts.


year authors and title journal last update
List of publications.
2019 Jeroen Claessen, Annalisa Molini, Brecht Martens, Matteo Detto, Matthias Demuzere, Diego G. Miralles
\"Global biosphere–climate interaction: a causal appraisal of observations and models over multiple temporal scales\"
published pages: 4851-4874, ISSN: 1726-4189, DOI: 10.5194/bg-16-4851-2019
Biogeosciences 16/24 2020-04-15
2020 Jian Peng, Simon Dadson, Feyera Hirpa, Ellen Dyer, Thomas Lees, Diego G. Miralles, Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano, Chris Funk
A pan-African high-resolution drought index dataset
published pages: 753-769, ISSN: 1866-3516, DOI: 10.5194/essd-12-753-2020
Earth System Science Data 12/1 2020-04-15
2019 J. Keune, D. G. Miralles
A Precipitation Recycling Network to Assess Freshwater Vulnerability: Challenging the Watershed Convention
published pages: 9947-9961, ISSN: 0043-1397, DOI: 10.1029/2019wr025310
Water Resources Research 55/11 2020-04-15
2020 Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano, Tim R. McVicar, Diego G. Miralles, Yuting Yang, Miquel Tomas‐Burguera
Unraveling the influence of atmospheric evaporative demand on drought and its response to climate change
published pages: , ISSN: 1757-7780, DOI: 10.1002/wcc.632
WIREs Climate Change 11/2 2020-04-15
2019 Paul C. Stoy, Tarek S. El-Madany, Joshua B. Fisher, Pierre Gentine, Tobias Gerken, Stephen P. Good, Anne Klosterhalfen, Shuguang Liu, Diego G. Miralles, Oscar Perez-Priego, Angela J. Rigden, Todd H. Skaggs, Georg Wohlfahrt, Ray G. Anderson, A. Miriam J. Coenders-Gerrits, Martin Jung, Wouter H. Maes, Ivan Mammarella, Matthias Mauder, Mirco Migliavacca, Jacob A. Nelson, Rafael Poyatos, Markus Reichs
Reviews and syntheses: Turning the challenges of partitioning ecosystem evaporation and transpiration into opportunities
published pages: 3747-3775, ISSN: 1726-4189, DOI: 10.5194/bg-16-3747-2019
Biogeosciences 16/19 2020-04-15
2020 Giovanni Forzieri, Diego G. Miralles, Philippe Ciais, Ramdane Alkama, Youngryel Ryu, Gregory Duveiller, Ke Zhang, Eddy Robertson, Markus Kautz, Brecht Martens, Chongya Jiang, Almut Arneth, Goran Georgievski, Wei Li, Guido Ceccherini, Peter Anthoni, Peter Lawrence, Andy Wiltshire, Julia Pongratz, Shilong Piao, Stephen Sitch, Daniel S. Goll, Vivek K. Arora, Sebastian Lienert, Danica Lombardozzi, Ets
Increased control of vegetation on global terrestrial energy fluxes
published pages: , ISSN: 1758-678X, DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0717-0
Nature Climate Change 2020-04-15
2020 Miguel D. Mahecha, Fabian Gans, Gunnar Brandt, Rune Christiansen, Sarah E. Cornell, Normann Fomferra, Guido Kraemer, Jonas Peters, Paul Bodesheim, Gustau Camps-Valls, Jonathan F. Donges, Wouter Dorigo, Lina M. Estupinan-Suarez, Victor H. Gutierrez-Velez, Martin Gutwin, Martin Jung, Maria C. Londoño, Diego G. Miralles, Phillip Papastefanou, Markus Reichstein
Earth system data cubes unravel global multivariate dynamics
published pages: 201-234, ISSN: 2190-4987, DOI: 10.5194/esd-11-201-2020
Earth System Dynamics 11/1 2020-04-15
2020 Christopher Krich, Jakob Runge, Diego G. Miralles, Mirco Migliavacca, Oscar Perez-Priego, Tarek El-Madany, Arnaud Carrara, Miguel D. Mahecha
\"Estimating causal networks in biosphere–atmosphere interaction with the PCMCI approach\"
published pages: 1033-1061, ISSN: 1726-4189, DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-1033-2020
Biogeosciences 17/4 2020-04-15
2019 Matthew F. McCabe, Diego G. Miralles, Thomas R.H. Holmes, Joshua B. Fisher
Advances in the Remote Sensing of Terrestrial Evaporation
published pages: 1138, ISSN: 2072-4292, DOI: 10.3390/rs11091138
Remote Sensing 11/9 2019-09-26
2018 Brecht Martens, Richard de Jeu, Niko Verhoest, Hanneke Schuurmans, Jonne Kleijer, Diego Miralles
Towards Estimating Land Evaporation at Field Scales Using GLEAM
published pages: 1720, ISSN: 2072-4292, DOI: 10.3390/rs10111720
Remote Sensing 10/11 2019-09-26
2019 Wouter H. Maes, Pierre Gentine, Niko E. C. Verhoest, Diego G. Miralles
Potential evaporation at eddy-covariance sites across the globe
published pages: 925-948, ISSN: 1607-7938, DOI: 10.5194/hess-23-925-2019
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 23/2 2019-09-26
2019 Irene E. Teubner, Matthias Forkel, Gustau Camps-Valls, Martin Jung, Diego G. Miralles, Gianluca Tramontana, Robin van der Schalie, Mariette Vreugdenhil, Leander Mösinger, Wouter A. Dorigo
A carbon sink-driven approach to estimate gross primary production from microwave satellite observations
published pages: 100-113, ISSN: 0034-4257, DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2019.04.022
Remote Sensing of Environment 229 2019-09-26
2019 Hendrik Wouters, Irina Y. Petrova, Chiel C. van Heerwaarden, Jordi Vilà-Guerau de Arellano, Adriaan J. Teuling, Vicky Meulenberg, Joseph A. Santanello, Diego G. Miralles
Atmospheric boundary layer dynamics from balloon soundings worldwide: CLASS4GL v1.0
published pages: 2139-2153, ISSN: 1991-9603, DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-2139-2019
Geoscientific Model Development 12/5 2019-09-26
2019 Samuel C Zipper, Jessica Keune, Stefan J Kollet
Land use change impacts on European heat and drought: remote land-atmosphere feedbacks mitigated locally by shallow groundwater
published pages: 44012, ISSN: 1748-9326, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab0db3
Environmental Research Letters 14/4 2019-09-26
2019 Brianna Pagán, Wouter Maes, Pierre Gentine, Brecht Martens, Diego Miralles
Exploring the Potential of Satellite Solar-Induced Fluorescence to Constrain Global Transpiration Estimates
published pages: 413, ISSN: 2072-4292, DOI: 10.3390/rs11040413
Remote Sensing 11/4 2019-09-26
2018 Carl Talsma, Stephen Good, Diego Miralles, Joshua Fisher, Brecht Martens, Carlos Jimenez, Adam Purdy
Sensitivity of Evapotranspiration Components in Remote Sensing-Based Models
published pages: 1601, ISSN: 2072-4292, DOI: 10.3390/rs10101601
Remote Sensing 10/10 2019-09-26
2019 Mikhail Ivanovich Varentsov, Mikhail Yurievich Grishchenko, Hendrik Wouters
Simultaneous assessment of the summer urban heat island in Moscow megacity based on in situ observations, thermal satellite images and mesoscale modeling
published pages: , ISSN: 2542-1565, DOI: 10.24057/2071-9388-2019-10
Geography, Environment, Sustainability 2019-09-26
2018 Brecht Martens, Willem Waegeman, Wouter A. Dorigo, Niko E. C. Verhoest, Diego G. Miralles
Terrestrial evaporation response to modes of climate variability
published pages: , ISSN: 2397-3722, DOI: 10.1038/s41612-018-0053-5
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science 1/1 2019-09-26
2017 Lei Cheng, Lu Zhang, Ying-Ping Wang, Josep G. Canadell, Francis H. S. Chiew, Jason Beringer, Longhui Li, Diego G. Miralles, Shilong Piao, Yongqiang Zhang
Recent increases in terrestrial carbon uptake at little cost to the water cycle
published pages: , ISSN: 2041-1723, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-017-00114-5
Nature Communications 8/1 2019-06-13
2017 Brecht Martens, Diego G. Miralles, Hans Lievens, Robin van der Schalie, Richard A. M. de Jeu, Diego Fernández-Prieto, Hylke E. Beck, Wouter A. Dorigo, Niko E. C. Verhoest
GLEAM v3: satellite-based land evaporation and root-zone soil moisture
published pages: 1903-1925, ISSN: 1991-9603, DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-1903-2017
Geoscientific Model Development 10/5 2019-06-13
2017 Giovanni Forzieri, Ramdane Alkama, Diego G. Miralles, Alessandro Cescatti
Satellites reveal contrasting responses of regional climate to the widespread greening of Earth
published pages: 1180-1184, ISSN: 0036-8075, DOI: 10.1126/science.aal1727
Science 356/6343 2019-06-13
2018 A. I. Gevaert, D. G. Miralles, R. A. M. de Jeu, J. Schellekens, A. J. Dolman
Soil Moisture-Temperature Coupling in a Set of Land Surface Models
published pages: , ISSN: 2169-897X, DOI: 10.1002/2017JD027346
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2019-06-13
2018 Wouter H. Maes, Pierre Gentine, Niko E. C. Verhoest, Diego G. Miralles
Potential evaporation at eddy-covariance sites across the globe
published pages: 1-33, ISSN: 1812-2116, DOI: 10.5194/hess-2017-682
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 2019-06-13
2017 Hsin Hsu, Min-Hui Lo, Benoit P. Guillod, Diego G. Miralles, Sanjiv Kumar
Relation between precipitation location and antecedent/subsequent soil moisture spatial patterns
published pages: 6319-6328, ISSN: 2169-897X, DOI: 10.1002/2016JD026042
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 122/12 2019-06-13
2018 Irene E. Teubner, Matthias Forkel, Martin Jung, Yi Y. Liu, Diego G. Miralles, Robert Parinussa, Robin van der Schalie, Mariette Vreugdenhil, Christopher R. Schwalm, Gianluca Tramontana, Gustau Camps-Valls, Wouter A. Dorigo
Assessing the relationship between microwave vegetation optical depth and gross primary production
published pages: 79-91, ISSN: 0303-2434, DOI: 10.1016/j.jag.2017.10.006
International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 65 2019-06-13
2018 Irina Petrova, Diego Miralles, Chiel van Heerwaarden, Hendrik Wouters
Relation between Convective Rainfall Properties and Antecedent Soil Moisture Heterogeneity Conditions in North Africa
published pages: 969, ISSN: 2072-4292, DOI: 10.3390/rs10060969
Remote Sensing 10/6 2019-06-13
2018 Carlos Jiménez, Brecht Martens, Diego M. Miralles, Joshua B. Fisher, Hylke E. Beck, Diego Fernández-Prieto
Exploring the merging of the global land evaporation WACMOS-ET products based on local tower measurements
published pages: 4513-4533, ISSN: 1607-7938, DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-4513-2018
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 22/8 2019-06-13
2018 Yi Y. Liu, Albert I.J.M. van Dijk, Diego G. Miralles, Matthew F. McCabe, Jason P. Evans, Richard A.M. de Jeu, Pierre Gentine, Alfredo Huete, Robert M. Parinussa, Lixin Wang, Kaiyu Guan, Joe Berry, Natalia Restrepo-Coupe
Enhanced canopy growth precedes senescence in 2005 and 2010 Amazonian droughts
published pages: 26-37, ISSN: 0034-4257, DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2018.03.035
Remote Sensing of Environment 211 2019-06-13
2017 Christina Papagiannopoulou, Diego G. Miralles, Stijn Decubber, Matthias Demuzere, Niko E. C. Verhoest, Wouter A. Dorigo, Willem Waegeman
A non-linear Granger-causality framework to investigate climate–vegetation dynamics
published pages: 1945-1960, ISSN: 1991-9603, DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-1945-2017
Geoscientific Model Development 10/5 2019-06-13
2017 C Papagiannopoulou, D G Miralles, W A Dorigo, N E C Verhoest, M Depoorter, W Waegeman
Vegetation anomalies caused by antecedent precipitation in most of the world
published pages: 74016, ISSN: 1748-9326, DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7145
Environmental Research Letters 12/7 2019-06-13
2018 Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano, Diego G. Miralles, Fernando Domínguez-Castro, Cesar Azorin-Molina, Ahmed El Kenawy, Tim R. McVicar, Miquel Tomás-Burguera, Santiago Beguería, Marco Maneta, Marina Peña-Gallardo
Global Assessment of the Standardized Evapotranspiration Deficit Index (SEDI) for Drought Analysis and Monitoring
published pages: 5371-5393, ISSN: 0894-8755, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0775.1
Journal of Climate 31/14 2019-06-13
2018 Giovanni Forzieri, Ramdane Alkama, Diego G. Miralles, Alessandro Cescatti
Response to Comment on “Satellites reveal contrasting responses of regional climate to the widespread greening of Earth”
published pages: eaap9664, ISSN: 0036-8075, DOI: 10.1126/science.aap9664
Science 360/6394 2019-06-13
2017 Stephen P. Good, Georgianne W. Moore, Diego G. Miralles
A mesic maximum in biological water use demarcates biome sensitivity to aridity shifts
published pages: 1883-1888, ISSN: 2397-334X, DOI: 10.1038/s41559-017-0371-8
Nature Ecology & Evolution 1/12 2019-06-13
2018 Christina Papagiannopoulou, Diego G. Miralles, Matthias Demuzere, Niko E. C. Verhoest, Willem Waegeman
Global hydro-climatic biomes identified via multi-task learning
published pages: 1-19, ISSN: 1991-962X, DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2018-92
Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 2019-06-13
2018 Diego G. Miralles, Pierre Gentine, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Adriaan J. Teuling
Land-atmospheric feedbacks during droughts and heatwaves: state of the science and current challenges
published pages: , ISSN: 0077-8923, DOI: 10.1111/nyas.13912
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 2019-06-13
2017 L. Vilasa, D. G. Miralles, R. A. M. de Jeu, A. J. Dolman
Global soil moisture bimodality in satellite observations and climate models
published pages: 4299-4311, ISSN: 2169-897X, DOI: 10.1002/2016JD026099
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 122/8 2019-06-13
2017 Joshua B. Fisher, Forrest Melton, Elizabeth Middleton, Christopher Hain, Martha Anderson, Richard Allen, Matthew F. McCabe, Simon Hook, Dennis Baldocchi, Philip A. Townsend, Ayse Kilic, Kevin Tu, Diego D. Miralles, Johan Perret, Jean-Pierre Lagouarde, Duane Waliser, Adam J. Purdy, Andrew French, David Schimel, James S. Famiglietti, Graeme Stephens, Eric F. Wood
The future of evapotranspiration: Global requirements for ecosystem functioning, carbon and climate feedbacks, agricultural management, and water resources
published pages: 2618-2626, ISSN: 0043-1397, DOI: 10.1002/2016WR020175
Water Resources Research 53/4 2019-06-13
2018 Xiaoliang Lu, Zhunqiao Liu, Shuqing An, Diego G. Miralles, Wouter Maes, Yaling Liu, Jianwu Tang
Potential of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence to estimate transpiration in a temperate forest
published pages: 75-87, ISSN: 0168-1923, DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.01.017
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 252 2019-06-13
2018 Hylke E. Beck, Eric F. Wood, Ming Pan, Colby K. Fisher, Diego G. Miralles, Albert I.J.M. van Dijk, Tim R. McVicar, Robert F. Adler
MSWEP V2 global 3-hourly 0.1° precipitation: methodology and quantitative assessment
published pages: , ISSN: 0003-0007, DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0138.1
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2019-06-13
2018 Carl J. Talsma, Stephen P. Good, Carlos Jimenez, Brecht Martens, Joshua B. Fisher, Diego G. Miralles, Matthew F. McCabe, Adam J. Purdy
Partitioning of evapotranspiration in remote sensing-based models
published pages: 131-143, ISSN: 0168-1923, DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.05.010
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 260-261 2019-06-13

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