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Discontinuities in Household and Family Formation

Total Cost €


EC-Contrib. €






Project "DisCont" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.


Organization address
address: VIA SARFATTI 25
city: MILANO
postcode: 20136

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Italy [IT]
 Total cost 2˙400˙555 €
 EC max contribution 2˙400˙555 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.1.1. (EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC))
 Code Call ERC-2015-AdG
 Funding Scheme ERC-ADG
 Starting year 2017
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2017-02-01   to  2022-01-31


Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 


 Project objective

Household, family and fertility changes are key drivers of population dynamics. Discovering and explaining the velocity of these changes is essential to understand the current situation and to provide scientific evidence on our demographic future. DisCont will provide seminal contributions by studying the impact of macro-level discontinuities on household and family formation (including fertility) in post-industrial contemporary societies. In the past decade, two macro-level discontinuities have radically transformed lives: the Great Recession and the digitalization of life and of the life course. Although their short-term and long-term impacts are likely to be fundamental, they have not yet been systematically analysed. Through a coordinated series of theoretically-founded empirical studies based on linked macro- and micro-level data, and using a comparative perspective, DisCont will argue that macro-level discontinuities are crucial in explaining broad changes in household and family formation, and that their effects can be persistent either for the population as a whole, or for specific cohorts. DisCont will contribute to five areas: 1) it will make theoretical advances by showing the importance of macro-level discontinuities in the explanation of changes in household and family formation in particular, and in population dynamics in general; 2) it will substantially advance our knowledge of household and family formation in post-industrial contemporary societies; 3) it will contribute in a systematic and path-breaking way to research on the broader societal impact of digitalization and of the Great Recession; 4) it will bring a paradigm shift in Age-Period-Cohort modelling; 5) it will make ground-breaking contributions on the demographic use of “big data” and on the use of agent-based models for the population-level implications of household and family change.


year authors and title journal last update
List of publications.
2019 Georgia Michailidou, Valentina Rotondi
I\'d lie for you
published pages: 181-192, ISSN: 0014-2921, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.05.014
European Economic Review 118 2020-04-03
2019 Werner Raub, Vincent Buskens, Vincenz Frey
Strategic tie formation for long-term exchange relations
published pages: 490-510, ISSN: 1043-4631, DOI: 10.1177/1043463119872566
Rationality and Society 31/4 2020-04-03
2019 Jarl E. Mooyaart, Aart C. Liefbroer, Francesco C. Billari
Becoming obese in young adulthood: the role of career-family pathways in the transition to adulthood for men and women
published pages: , ISSN: 1471-2458, DOI: 10.1186/s12889-019-7797-7
BMC Public Health 19/1 2020-04-03
2019 Vincenz Frey, Vincent Buskens, Rense Corten
Investments in and returns on network embeddedness: An experiment with trust games
published pages: 81-92, ISSN: 0378-8733, DOI: 10.1016/j.socnet.2018.07.006
Social Networks 56 2020-04-03
2019 Francesco C. Billari, Monica Gentile, Nadia Linciano
Who Intends to Become Financially Literate? Insights from the Theory of Planned Behaviour
published pages: , ISSN: 1556-5068, DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3494984
SSRN Electronic Journal 2020-04-03
2019 Valandis Elpidorou, Carolin Margraf, María Dolores Martínez-Miranda, Bent Nielsen
A Likelihood Approach to Bornhuetter–Ferguson Analysis
published pages: 119, ISSN: 2227-9091, DOI: 10.3390/risks7040119
Risks 7/4 2020-04-01
2019 D. Kuang, B. Nielsen
Generalized log-normal chain-ladder
published pages: 1-24, ISSN: 0346-1238, DOI: 10.1080/03461238.2019.1696885
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal 2020-04-01
2019 Viola Angelini, Marco Bertoni, Luca Stella, Christoph T. Weiss
The ant or the grasshopper? The long-term consequences of Unilateral Divorce Laws on savings of European households
published pages: 97-113, ISSN: 0014-2921, DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.07.002
European Economic Review 119 2020-01-29
2019 Francesco C. Billari, Osea Giuntella, Luca Stella
Does broadband Internet affect fertility?
published pages: 1-20, ISSN: 0032-4728, DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2019.1584327
Population Studies 2020-01-29
2017 Valentina Rotondi, Luca Stanca, Miriam Tomasuolo
Connecting alone: Smartphone use, quality of social interactions and well-being
published pages: 17-26, ISSN: 0167-4870, DOI: 10.1016/j.joep.2017.09.001
Journal of Economic Psychology 63 2020-01-29
2017 Jussi Ojala, Emilio Zagheni, Francesco C. Billari, Ingmar Weber
Fertility and Its Meaning: Evidence from Search Behavior
published pages: 640-643, ISSN: , DOI:
Proceedings of the Eleventh International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media (ICWSM 2017) 2017 2020-01-29
2018 Francesco Rampazzo, Emilio Zagheni, Ingmar Weber, Maria Rita Testa, Francesco Billari
Mater Certa Est, Pater Numquam: What Can Facebook Advertising Data Tell Us about Male Fertility Rates?
published pages: 672-675, ISSN: , DOI:
Proceedings of the Twelfth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media (ICWSM 2018) 2018 2020-01-29
2019 Luca Maria Pesando
Global Family Change: Persistent Diversity with Development
published pages: 133-168, ISSN: 0098-7921, DOI: 10.1111/padr.12209
Population and Development Review 45/1 2020-01-29
2018 Francesco C. Billari, Osea Giuntella, Luca Stella
Broadband internet, digital temptations, and sleep
published pages: 58-76, ISSN: 0167-2681, DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2018.07.001
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 153 2020-01-29
2018 Emilio Colombo, Valentina Rotondi, Luca Stanca
Macroeconomic conditions and health: Inspecting the transmission mechanism
published pages: 29-37, ISSN: 1570-677X, DOI: 10.1016/j.ehb.2017.11.005
Economics & Human Biology 28 2020-01-29
2018 Ozan Aksoy, Francesco C. Billari
Political Islam, Marriage, and Fertility: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
published pages: 1296-1340, ISSN: 0002-9602, DOI: 10.1086/696193
American Journal of Sociology 123/5 2020-01-29
2019 Mirkka Danielsbacka, Antti O. Tanskanen, Francesco C. Billari
Who meets online? Personality traits and sociodemographic characteristics associated with online partnering in Germany
published pages: 139-144, ISSN: 0191-8869, DOI: 10.1016/j.paid.2019.02.024
Personality and Individual Differences 143 2020-01-29
2018 Jonas Harnau
Misspecification Tests for Log-Normal and Over-Dispersed Poisson Chain-Ladder Models
published pages: 25, ISSN: 2227-9091, DOI: 10.3390/risks6020025
Risks 6/2 2020-01-29
2018 Jonas Harnau
Log-Normal or Over-Dispersed Poisson?
published pages: 70, ISSN: 2227-9091, DOI: 10.3390/risks6030070
Risks 6/3 2020-01-29
2017 Jonas Harnau, Bent Nielsen
Over-Dispersed Age-Period-Cohort Models
published pages: 1-11, ISSN: 0162-1459, DOI: 10.1080/01621459.2017.1366908
Journal of the American Statistical Association 2018, VOL 0, NO 0,1-11 2020-01-29

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