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APMPAL-HET SIGNED

Asset Prices and Macro Policy when Agents Learn and are Heterogeneous

Total Cost €

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EC-Contrib. €

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Partnership

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 APMPAL-HET project word cloud

Explore the words cloud of the APMPAL-HET project. It provides you a very rough idea of what is the project "APMPAL-HET" about.

models    extraction    market    continue    behave    capital    observe    macro    survey    expectations    either    exit    social    heterogeneity    linearities    taylor    view    based    introduce    wages    time    discount    redistribution    smoothing    human    frameworks    optimal    ir    constraints    variables    workers    emphasis    crisis    knows    insights    compatible    prior    forecast    accumulation    rationality    decision    teach    policy    taxation    search    fiscal    subsidies    dsge    tax    beliefs    inflation    consumers    group    assets    debt    analyst    country    asset    predicting    subjective    partial    erc    pricing    data    modifies    discourage    monetary    prices    internal    wealth    agents    signal    productivity    government    series    sovereign    ose    tools    reform    depends    rule    network    prediction    worker    redistribute    neighbours    wage    rationally    foundations    influences    exclusion    reforms    function    extend    apmpal    stochastic    bond    investors    heterogeneous   

Project "APMPAL-HET" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.

Coordinator
FUNDACIÓ MARKETS, ORGANIZATIONS AND VOTES IN ECONOMICS 

Organization address
address: CAMPUS DE BELLATERRA DE LA UNIVERSIDAD AUTONOMA DE BARCELONA SN EDIFICIO B
city: CERDANYOLA DEL VALLÈS
postcode: 8193
website: www.movebarcelona.eu

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Spain [ES]
 Total cost 1˙524˙144 €
 EC max contribution 1˙524˙144 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.1.1. (EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC))
 Code Call ERC-2017-ADG
 Funding Scheme ERC-ADG
 Starting year 2018
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2018-09-01   to  2023-08-31

 Partnership

Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    FUNDACIÓ MARKETS, ORGANIZATIONS AND VOTES IN ECONOMICS ES (CERDANYOLA DEL VALLÈS) coordinator 1˙524˙144.00

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 Project objective

Based on the APMPAL (ERC) project we continue to develop the frameworks of internal rationality (IR) and optimal signal extraction (OSE). Under IR investors/consumers behave rationally given their subjective beliefs about prices, these beliefs are compatible with data. Under OSE the government has partial information, it knows how policy influences observed variables and signal extraction. We develop further the foundations of IR and OSE with an emphasis on heterogeneous agents. We study sovereign bond crisis and heterogeneity of beliefs in asset pricing models under IR, using survey data on expectations. Under IR the assets’ stochastic discount factor depends on the agents’ decision function and beliefs; this modifies some key asset pricing results. We extend OSE to models with state variables, forward-looking constraints and heterogeneity. Under IR agents’ prior beliefs determine the effects of a policy reform. If the government does not observe prior beliefs it has partial information, thus OSE should be used to analyse policy reforms under IR. If IR heterogeneous workers forecast their productivity either from their own wage or their neighbours’ in a network, low current wages discourage search and human capital accumulation, leading to low productivity. This can explain low development of a country or social exclusion of a group. Worker subsidies redistribute wealth and can increase productivity if they “teach” agents to exit a low-wage state. We build DSGE models under IR for prediction and policy analysis. We develop time-series tools for predicting macro and asset market variables, using information available to the analyst, and we introduce non-linearities and survey expectations using insights from models under IR. We study how IR and OSE change the view on macro policy issues such as tax smoothing, debt management, Taylor rule, level of inflation, fiscal/monetary policy coordination, factor taxation or redistribution.

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