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APMPAL-HET SIGNED

Asset Prices and Macro Policy when Agents Learn and are Heterogeneous

Total Cost €

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EC-Contrib. €

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Partnership

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 APMPAL-HET project word cloud

Explore the words cloud of the APMPAL-HET project. It provides you a very rough idea of what is the project "APMPAL-HET" about.

market    wages    prediction    tools    analyst    wealth    rationality    time    rationally    debt    subjective    foundations    decision    taylor    survey    knows    view    partial    redistribution    discourage    dsge    bond    wage    extraction    accumulation    reform    capital    constraints    rule    smoothing    insights    models    exit    ir    heterogeneous    policy    agents    pricing    crisis    erc    macro    redistribute    forecast    introduce    compatible    behave    based    apmpal    network    modifies    exclusion    depends    internal    consumers    social    series    stochastic    tax    optimal    variables    investors    search    extend    prior    prices    influences    neighbours    human    ose    group    data    predicting    workers    frameworks    beliefs    country    heterogeneity    expectations    linearities    sovereign    function    worker    assets    subsidies    monetary    asset    either    fiscal    taxation    teach    signal    observe    inflation    productivity    reforms    government    continue    discount    emphasis   

Project "APMPAL-HET" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.

Coordinator
FUNDACIÓ MARKETS, ORGANIZATIONS AND VOTES IN ECONOMICS 

Organization address
address: CAMPUS DE BELLATERRA DE LA UNIVERSIDAD AUTONOMA DE BARCELONA SN EDIFICIO B
city: CERDANYOLA DEL VALLÈS
postcode: 8193
website: www.movebarcelona.eu

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Spain [ES]
 Total cost 1˙524˙144 €
 EC max contribution 1˙524˙144 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.1.1. (EXCELLENT SCIENCE - European Research Council (ERC))
 Code Call ERC-2017-ADG
 Funding Scheme ERC-ADG
 Starting year 2018
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2018-09-01   to  2023-08-31

 Partnership

Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    FUNDACIÓ MARKETS, ORGANIZATIONS AND VOTES IN ECONOMICS ES (CERDANYOLA DEL VALLÈS) coordinator 1˙524˙144.00

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 Project objective

Based on the APMPAL (ERC) project we continue to develop the frameworks of internal rationality (IR) and optimal signal extraction (OSE). Under IR investors/consumers behave rationally given their subjective beliefs about prices, these beliefs are compatible with data. Under OSE the government has partial information, it knows how policy influences observed variables and signal extraction. We develop further the foundations of IR and OSE with an emphasis on heterogeneous agents. We study sovereign bond crisis and heterogeneity of beliefs in asset pricing models under IR, using survey data on expectations. Under IR the assets’ stochastic discount factor depends on the agents’ decision function and beliefs; this modifies some key asset pricing results. We extend OSE to models with state variables, forward-looking constraints and heterogeneity. Under IR agents’ prior beliefs determine the effects of a policy reform. If the government does not observe prior beliefs it has partial information, thus OSE should be used to analyse policy reforms under IR. If IR heterogeneous workers forecast their productivity either from their own wage or their neighbours’ in a network, low current wages discourage search and human capital accumulation, leading to low productivity. This can explain low development of a country or social exclusion of a group. Worker subsidies redistribute wealth and can increase productivity if they “teach” agents to exit a low-wage state. We build DSGE models under IR for prediction and policy analysis. We develop time-series tools for predicting macro and asset market variables, using information available to the analyst, and we introduce non-linearities and survey expectations using insights from models under IR. We study how IR and OSE change the view on macro policy issues such as tax smoothing, debt management, Taylor rule, level of inflation, fiscal/monetary policy coordination, factor taxation or redistribution.

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