SPECS

Seasonal-to-decadal climate Prediction for the improvement of European Climate Services

 Coordinatore FUNDACIO INSTITUT CATALA DE CIENCIES DEL CLIMA 

 Organization address address: CALLE BALDIRI REIXAC 2
city: Barcelona
postcode: 8028

contact info
Titolo: Ms.
Nome: Mar
Cognome: Rodriguez
Email: send email
Telefono: 34935679977

 Nazionalità Coordinatore Spain [ES]
 Totale costo 11˙785˙694 €
 EC contributo 8˙224˙862 €
 Programma FP7-ENVIRONMENT
Specific Programme "Cooperation": Environment (including Climate Change)
 Code Call FP7-ENV-2012-two-stage
 Funding Scheme CP
 Anno di inizio 2012
 Periodo (anno-mese-giorno) 2012-11-01   -   2017-01-31

 Partecipanti

# participant  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    FUNDACIO INSTITUT CATALA DE CIENCIES DEL CLIMA

 Organization address address: CALLE BALDIRI REIXAC 2
city: Barcelona
postcode: 8028

contact info
Titolo: Ms.
Nome: Mar
Cognome: Rodriguez
Email: send email
Telefono: 34935679977

ES (Barcelona) coordinator 1˙615˙305.80
2    KONINKLIJK NEDERLANDS METEOROLOGISCH INSTITUUT-KNMI

 Organization address address: UTRECHTSEWEG 297
city: DE BILT
postcode: 3731 GA

contact info
Titolo: Mr.
Nome: Jeroen
Cognome: Sassen
Email: send email
Telefono: +31 302206464

NL (DE BILT) participant 746˙758.75
3    EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS

 Organization address address: Shinfield Park
city: READING
postcode: RG2 9AX

contact info
Titolo: Mr.
Nome: Stefan
Cognome: Eberle
Email: send email
Telefono: +44 118 9499100
Fax: +44 118 986 9450

UK (READING) participant 654˙550.80
4    SVERIGES METEOROLOGISKA OCH HYDROLOGISKA INSTITUT

 Organization address address: Folkborgsvaegen 1
city: NORRKOEPING
postcode: 601 76

contact info
Titolo: Ms.
Nome: Monica
Cognome: Wallgren
Email: send email
Telefono: 46114958104
Fax: 46114958001

SE (NORRKOEPING) participant 582˙450.00
5    MET OFFICE

 Organization address address: FitzRoy Road
city: EXETER
postcode: EX1 3PB

contact info
Titolo: Ms.
Nome: Paula
Cognome: Newton
Email: send email
Telefono: 441393000000

UK (EXETER) participant 563˙282.50
6    THE UNIVERSITY OF READING

 Organization address address: WHITEKNIGHTS CAMPUS WHITEKNIGHTS HOUSE
city: READING
postcode: RG6 6AH

contact info
Titolo: Prof.
Nome: Rowan
Cognome: Sutton
Email: send email
Telefono: +44 118 378 8337

UK (READING) participant 466˙286.00
7    METEO-FRANCE

 Organization address address: AVENUE DE PARIS 73
city: SAINT MANDE CEDEX
postcode: 94165

contact info
Titolo: Mr.
Nome: Frédéric
Cognome: Avril
Email: send email
Telefono: +33 561 079365
Fax: +33 561 079600

FR (SAINT MANDE CEDEX) participant 401˙400.00
8    AGENZIA NAZIONALE PER LE NUOVE TECNOLOGIE,L'ENERGIA E LO SVILUPPO ECONOMICO SOSTENIBILE

 Organization address address: Lungotevere Grande Ammiraglio Thaon di Revel 76
city: ROMA
postcode: 196

contact info
Titolo: Dr.
Nome: Addamo
Cognome: Giovanni
Email: send email
Telefono: +39 06 3048 4711
Fax: +39 06 3048 4072

IT (ROMA) participant 401˙063.00
9    MAX PLANCK GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FOERDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN E.V.

 Organization address address: Hofgartenstrasse 8
city: MUENCHEN
postcode: 80539

contact info
Titolo: Ms.
Nome: Claudia
Cognome: Piltz
Email: send email
Telefono: +49 40 41173285

DE (MUENCHEN) participant 375˙000.00
10    THE UNIVERSITY OF EXETER

 Organization address address: Northcote House, The Queen's Drive
city: EXETER
postcode: EX4 4QJ

contact info
Titolo: Ms.
Nome: Sarah
Cognome: Hill
Email: send email
Telefono: +44 1392 726206

UK (EXETER) participant 345˙014.60
11    THE CHANCELLOR, MASTERS AND SCHOLARS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF OXFORD

 Organization address address: University Offices, Wellington Square
city: OXFORD
postcode: OX1 2JD

contact info
Titolo: Ms.
Nome: Linda
Cognome: Pialek
Email: send email
Telefono: +44 1865 289800
Fax: +44 1865 289801

UK (OXFORD) participant 341˙917.00
12    CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE

 Organization address address: Rue Michel -Ange 3
city: PARIS
postcode: 75794

contact info
Titolo: Mr.
Nome: Ludovic
Cognome: Hamon
Email: send email
Telefono: 33142349417

FR (PARIS) participant 336˙000.00
13    CENTRE EUROPEEN DE RECHERCHE ET DE FORMATION AVANCEE EN CALCUL SCIENTIFIQUE

 Organization address address: Avenue Gaspard Coriolis 42
city: TOULOUSE
postcode: 31057

contact info
Titolo: Mr.
Nome: Dominique
Cognome: Roffi
Email: send email
Telefono: 33561193003
Fax: 33561193000

FR (TOULOUSE) participant 289˙469.00
14    AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DE INVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS

 Organization address address: CALLE SERRANO 117
city: MADRID
postcode: 28006

contact info
Titolo: Mr.
Nome: Alberto
Cognome: Sereno Alvarez
Email: send email
Telefono: +34 91 566 8852

ES (MADRID) participant 216˙742.50
15    INSTITUTO NACIONAL DE PESQUISAS ESPACIAIS

 Organization address address: Avenida dos Astronautas 1758
city: SAO JOSE DOS CAMPOS
postcode: 12227-010

contact info
Titolo: Mrs.
Nome: Yara
Cognome: Ferreira
Email: send email
Telefono: +55 12 31032504
Fax: +55 12 31032504

BR (SAO JOSE DOS CAMPOS) participant 215˙280.00
16    METEOROLOGISK INSTITUTT

 Organization address address: HENRIK MOHNS PLASS 1
city: OSLO
postcode: 313

contact info
Titolo: Mr.
Nome: Per Helmer
Cognome: Skaali
Email: send email
Telefono: 4722963318

NO (OSLO) participant 193˙360.50
17    UNIVERSITAET HAMBURG

 Organization address address: EDMUND-SIEMERS-ALLEE 1
city: HAMBURG
postcode: 20146

contact info
Titolo: Mrs.
Nome: Linda
Cognome: Reams-Behboud
Email: send email
Telefono: +49 40 42838 4425

DE (HAMBURG) participant 180˙000.00
18    NORSK INSTITUTT FOR LUFTFORSKNING

 Organization address address: Instituttveien 18
city: KJELLER
postcode: 2027

contact info
Titolo: Dr.
Nome: Yvan
Cognome: Orsolini
Email: send email
Telefono: 4763898183
Fax: 4763898050

NO (KJELLER) participant 119˙274.00
19    UNIVERSITY OF LEEDS

 Organization address address: WOODHOUSE LANE
city: LEEDS
postcode: LS2 9JT

contact info
Titolo: Mr.
Nome: Martin
Cognome: Hamilton
Email: send email
Telefono: +44 113 3434090

UK (LEEDS) participant 91˙200.00
20    VORTEX FACTORIA DE CALCULS SL

 Organization address address: CALLE MARIE CURIE 8
city: BARCELONA
postcode: 8042

contact info
Titolo: Dr.
Nome: Gil
Cognome: Lizcano
Email: send email
Telefono: +32 2 5434490

ES (BARCELONA) participant 90˙507.60

Mappa


 Word cloud

Esplora la "nuvola delle parole (Word Cloud) per avere un'idea di massima del progetto.

local    meteorological    uncertainty    climate    organization    adapt    seamless    slow    capacity    resolution    predictions    land    progress    forecast    specs    ice    economic    components    quality    political    global    seasonal    tools    prediction    time    forecasting    events    industry    decadal    sea    near    timescales    extreme    climatic    services    context    weather    wmo    planning    gfcs    impact    estimates    stakeholders    society    frequency    expressed    world    forecasts    industrial    offer   

 Obiettivo del progetto (Objective)

'The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) sponsored the Global Framework on Climate Services (GFCS) where the need for actionable climate information for periods from several months up to several years for economic, industrial and political planning has been expressed. However, progress in seasonal forecasting has been slow and decadal forecasting is still incipient. At the same time, new model components to address the role of sea ice, land surface, stratosphere, ocean and their resolution in global models are now available from the climate change and weather forecasting communities. Methods for sophisticated downscaling and calibration for local, reliable climate predictions are scarce in Europe. In this context, SPECS aims to identify the main problems in climate prediction and investigate a battery of solutions from a seamless perspective. SPECS will undertake research and dissemination activities to deliver a new generation of European climate forecast systems, with improved forecast quality and efficient regionalisation tools to produce reliable, local climate information over land at seasonal-to-decadal time scales, and provide an enhanced communication protocol and services to satisfy the climate information needs of a wide range of public and private stakeholders. The improved understanding and seamless predictions will offer better estimates of the future frequency of high-impact,extreme climatic events and of the prediction uncertainty. New services to convey climate information and its quality will be used. SPECS will be,among other things, the glue to coalesce the outcome of previous researchefforts that hardly took climate prediction into account. SPECS will ensure interoperability so as to easily incorporate their application in an operational context, provide the basis for improving the capacity of European policy making, industry and society to adapt to near-future climate variations and a coordinated response to some of the GFCS components.'

Introduzione (Teaser)

Researchers are advancing new local and regional forecasting methods that produce skilful and reliable land predictions over local and large timescales.

Descrizione progetto (Article)

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has expressed the need for more robust climate information for economic, industrial and political planning. Despite this, progress in seasonal-to-decadal forecasting in Europe has been slow compared to short-term weather and long-term anthropogenic climate change predictions.

Increasing forecast quality on these timescales is the focus of the EU-funded 'Seasonal-to-decadal climate prediction for the improvement of European climate services' (http://www.specs-fp7.eu/ (SPECS)) project. A partnership of 13 countries, it also aims to close the gap in providing climate data and services between information producers and users.

Significant progress has been made in increasing the spatial resolution of forecasts by better initialising different components. This includes the role of interactive vegetation, land and sea ice, atmospheric composition, volcanic smoke and past extreme climate events.

Researchers are tackling how to reduce the impact of initial shock, systematic error and drift, which are critical aspects in improving forecast systems. The project is also working on how to better communicate climate information to policymakers and stakeholders through e-based dissemination tools, surveys, conferences and targeted workshops.

The improved predictions will offer better estimates of the likely frequency of high-impact, extreme climatic events and of the uncertainty within the forecasts. It could also improve the capacity of European policymaking, industry and society to adapt to likely near-future climate changes.

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IMPRESSIONS (2013)

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GFG² (2011)

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