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LISTEN SIGNED

Lost In translation: Strengthening communication skills between real world and climaTe modEls for seasonal to decadal predictioN

Total Cost €

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EC-Contrib. €

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Partnership

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Project "LISTEN" data sheet

The following table provides information about the project.

Coordinator
CONSIGLIO NAZIONALE DELLE RICERCHE 

Organization address
address: PIAZZALE ALDO MORO 7
city: ROMA
postcode: 185
website: www.cnr.it

contact info
title: n.a.
name: n.a.
surname: n.a.
function: n.a.
email: n.a.
telephone: n.a.
fax: n.a.

 Coordinator Country Italy [IT]
 Total cost 168˙277 €
 EC max contribution 168˙277 € (100%)
 Programme 1. H2020-EU.1.3.2. (Nurturing excellence by means of cross-border and cross-sector mobility)
 Code Call H2020-MSCA-IF-2017
 Funding Scheme MSCA-IF-EF-ST
 Starting year 2019
 Duration (year-month-day) from 2019-02-01   to  2021-01-31

 Partnership

Take a look of project's partnership.

# participants  country  role  EC contrib. [€] 
1    CONSIGLIO NAZIONALE DELLE RICERCHE IT (ROMA) coordinator 168˙277.00

Map

 Project objective

Seasonal and decadal climate predictions are routinely carried out, and are widely used for their numerous socio-economic applications. The improvement of the forecast capabilities at these timescales is the focus of the international effort coordinated by the World Climate Research Programme. The strategy of LISTEN to contribute to this challenge is structured to have two stages. First, it aims at enhancing the transfer of observed information to the model during the initialisation of a forecast. This phase of the climate prediction process is of utmost importance, because it has been shown that a correct initialisation can improve the forecasts up to a few years ahead. However, the systematic errors of the models make this task challenging, because of the discrepancy between the observed and model mean climate. The main consequences are incorrect propagation of systems and a quick loss of the observed information. LISTEN will therefore implement innovative initialisation techniques. These are explicitly designed to tackle specific limitations detected in the methods currently in use. The new techniques will be tested at both seasonal and decadal timescales, and their performance will be compared to the standard methods. The second stage of the project consists in exploiting the data produced by the first stage for an in-depth assessment of the prediction skill, with a special focus over Europe. Large uncertainties remain in predicting events on regional scales, such as heat waves, droughts or heavy rain and snow. LISTEN will aim at a thorough assessment of the model strengths and weaknesses in predicting those events under different initialisation strategies. In particular, the sub-seasonal circulation and extreme weather events will be studied in the framework of circulation patterns, through the analysis of large-scale recurrent patterns of variability (weather regimes). The tools developed to compute these process-based metrics will be made publicly available.

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The information about "LISTEN" are provided by the European Opendata Portal: CORDIS opendata.

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